A simple 2 x 2 for choices

​​​​ Seth Godin the American author and former Dot com business executive talks about how to make choices on what kind of projects/assignments/goals we need to focus on. Seth advises that it is better to have a portfolio of projects basis the grid below since not all projects/assignments/goals are going to work.

 

 

Seth agrees that it might be simple, but it’s not always easy. Success doesn’t always mean money; it just means that you got what you were hoping for. And while every project fits into one of the four quadrants, he says that there’s no right answer for any given person or any given moment.

Some of the traps he suggests us to avoid as below:

1. All your eggs are in a low-chance basket. It’s like a wild gamble, and it’s your dream. And you may want a shortcut. The problem though he argues is that this isn’t a resilient long-term plan.
2. You want to take a lead and do something to be ahead, but if we are doing it in the top right quadrant. The problem that lies there he mentions is, so is everyone else. All of a sudden, your odds just went down. It’s easy to start an Insta account, but once everyone does it, the chances of becoming a top .01% traffic generating influencer are close to zero.
3. You focus on only high-probability, low-value successes, even if the outcomes are not really worth your time. Getting a $3 an hour gig on a freelance site is easy, but it might not be worth it.

On the other hand, he suggests considering a portfolio of projects. Some of them that have a very high likelihood of working out, and each one of these outcomes is pleasant, if not game-changing. He advises to play often enough, though, and your persistent generosity will pay off.

And then he asks us to mix into that some of the moonshotprojects that most people are afraid to take on. They’re afraid because they have equated “low chance of success” with “risky.” They’re not the same. Risky implies that failure will cost a lot. It won’t. Seth argues that you can thrive with this strategy because you have a portfolio, and because you realize that “unlikely” is not the same as “not worth trying.”

He sums up by stating that the best portfolios are persistent (because patience is a rare skill), they’re generous (so others root for you to succeed) and they build on each other (because then, even the ones that don’t work increase your chances for the next one to work out).